Wednesday, May 25, 2011

Russia's foreign policy shift sends strong messages

IIPM Professor Arindam Chaudhuri on 'OBAMA and OSAMA'

The recent news that Russia has accepted NATO’s invitation to join the upcoming NATO Summit has not only surprised many but also shaken the world. The Russian president Dmitry Medvedev has confirmed to attend the next NATO summit scheduled on Nov 19, 2010 at the Portuguese capital Lisbon. Does this mean that Russia is witnessing a tectonic shift in its foreign policy under President Medvedev’s leadership?

Certain actions of Medvedev are indicative enough. Firstly, Obama’s state visit to Russia followed by Medvedev’s visits to Washington was a rare phenomenon during the Cold War, and even during Vladimir Putin’s tenure as a President. Secondly, Russia’s decision to impose sanctions on Iran to please America which is equivalent to the 1929 sanctions imposed by the UN was not only surprising but also considered to be a diplomatic disaster by experts. And now, Medvedev’s participation in the NATO Summit. It’s no more a secret that the US created NATO to restrict Russian military movements, and Europeans joined NATO to defend any possible threat from Russia. And For Russia, NATO’s presence in Europe is nothing other than military provocation.
Often, there were wars of words between NATO and Russia. For example, NATO criticised Russia for waging war against Georgia, saying "A peaceful and lasting solution to the conflict in Georgia must be based on full respect for the principles of Georgia’s independence, sovereignty and territorial integrity recognised by international law." Medvedev was definitely not silent. He clearly conveyed that “NATO's decision to hold the exercises in Georgia is seen among Russian military and political ranks as a provocative move... I think this is a wrong decision, a dangerous decision.” Surprisingly, Medvedev now finds NATO to be more friendly as he says, “there is the sense that NATO is some kind of aggressive element. This is in many respects a mistake.” And NATO, which generally excludes Russia from any kind of discussions, invited it to join to discuss common European security concerns.

However, Russia's pro-investment policies to integrate with the global economy is logical enough at a time when it is facing some economic hurdles. But pro-America policy shift of Medvedev will serve his personal interests more than that of the nation. It can be a strong anti-Putin message in his 2012 Presidential election campaign. But will that alone ensure his second term as problems like decline in industrial production, unemployment, economic stagnation and poor foreign investment are looming large over Russia?

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