Thursday, February 26, 2009

The stink of a sink


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Ask Binit Somaia, the Sydney-based Director of Centre for Asia Pacific Aviation (CAPA) and he is quick to condone the Kingfisher-Jet alliance in view of the pathetic state of aviation businesses in the country. “This alliance will rationalise capacity and in turn should improve the financial performance of all players. There will be an increase in prices, but fare increase and higher load factors will improve the health of the industry,” he told 4Ps B&M. Clearly in favour of an increase in overall air fares, Somaia is obviously disturbed by the obscenely high operating costs in the industry.

But critics believe that the overriding fear of Jet and Kingfisher coming together is that of a price rationalisation, along with route rationalisation. They argue that the deal may invariably result in some sort of price fixing between the two, which will eventually lead to steeper air fares. Goyal has been in any case rooting for a hike in air fares from time immemorial. And if these full service carriers increase fares, then their respective low cost interests (JetLite and erstwhile Deccan) which they had acquired sometime ago will also reflect the upward pricing graph.

Now consider a situation that the combine (which controls over 60% of the domestic market) has upped prices in tandem. Obviously others will follow suit, including the till-now independent low cost airlines – Indigo and SpiceJet! So is this the end of the low-cost flying model that the country had embraced only a few years ago? Already due to fuel surcharges, the fare difference between a low cost carrier and full service airline has trickled down to as low as 6-7% on may routes. Any route rationalisation by Mallya and Goyal will mean cutting down supply further, automatically boosting demand and thereby prices. So, even without the high fuel costs, the low cost model seems to be in a flux of sorts.

Avers Narula, “Financially troubled low cost airlines would not be able to compete with the Jet-Kingfisher combine who control over 60% market,” adding that state-owned Air India too would hardly be a match for them.

But Harshvardhan, Chairman, Starair Consulting differs. “First of all this is not a cartel, it is just a short term alliance. And second, it can’t kill the low cost model. Low fares require cost reduction and taxation on fuel can play an important role. When this is reduced, low costs carriers will benefit disproportionately.”

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Source : IIPM Editorial, 2008

An Initiative of IIPM, Malay Chaudhuri and Arindam chaudhuri (Renowned Management Guru and Economist).

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Monday, February 09, 2009

If we are a caterpillar, we are a caterpillar on steroids!


H. E. MR. J. WUTAWUNASHE, AMBASSADOR, THE REPUBLIC OF ZIMBABWEH. E. Mr. J. Wutawunashe, Ambassador of The Republic of Zimbabwe talks about Zimbabwe’s readiness to accept Indian brands with Manish k. Pandey...

How is Zimbabwe different from the other African markets?
Zimbabwe’s market can be perfectly placed within the global context. In our interaction with the global market in which we operate, our tastes have been shaped in part by Africa, and in part by the world at large. The technology and products used by the Indian market have been found to be appropriate for Africa and Zimbabwe. Zimbabwean people have a high level of adaptability, in both production and consumption, hence great potential is offered to business houses from India & elsewhere.

While China has till now adopted a largely heavy industries led investment approach in Africa, India’s approach is more entrepreneur and brand led. How do you think these two different approaches are going to help Africa, particularly Zimbabwe, in the long run?
India, too, does have a capacity and an appetite for heavy industry, and has a high global profile in industries like coal and steel. Africa is ready for Indian brands, and some prominent ones like TATA, Swaraj, Mahindra, Sonalika, Kirloskar and so on are well known. A recent development in Zimbabwe was the arrival of Hindustan Machine Tools by way of the Indo-Zimbabwe Technology Centre project. We are convinced that the time has come for Indian brands to popularise themselves in Africa through deliberate efforts in market development, in the same manner in which these brands popularised themselves in India by developing the domestic market. This means setting up production units in Zimbabwe and other African countries, which is superior to merchandising from afar. The secret is to be actually present in the market in which you want to stimulate a demand for your product.

Critics say that Africa is fast becoming the testing ground for India Inc.’s ‘brand’ war with corporate China. What’s your take on this?
Those critics should get real jobs. Why should brands that do not fight anywhere else be said to fight in Africa, a continent that has space for more brands than are on offer? Africa’s plan is to industrialise, and in our growth market, brand complementarity is the buzzword. In Zimbabwe, we are fortunate to have citizens of both Indian and Chinese origin, and for us the prospect of joint ventures between Zimbabwean, Indian and Chinese industrialists and entrepreneurs is not far-fetched. It must not be forgotten that, if ever there is a competition, Zimbabwean brands and brands from elsewhere in Africa will be in the mix, because we do have competitive brands in Africa. The arena for such competition will not necessarily be Africa.

Is the time really ripe to enter the African market?
Africa is an attractive continent, and that is why so many myths have been spread about her. It is true that in the past, those who were having it good in Africa at Africa’s expense saw advantage in spreading a distorted image of Africa to discourage prospective competitors, particularly competitors from Asia. Centuries ago, the Portuguese found vibrant trading partners in the Munhumutapa Kingdom of which we are proud descendants. The fact that colonialism interrupted Africa’s normal commerce does not mean we have lost the instinct. Visit the market in Lagos, in Dar es Salaam or in Zimbabwe’s Chitungwiza, and you will realise that all this talk about caterpillars that you step on – and why step on living things anyway – is based less on fact than on ignorance. Shall we talk about Zimbabwe’s gold and platinum, or the rapid pace at which vehicles are being assembled in Harare? What about the sugar plantations that give the highest yield per square meter in the world? What about the fabulous tourist safaris on the Zambezi or the sophisticated banking sector that gives good business to major Indian software developers? If we are a caterpillar, we are a caterpillar on steroids!

What, according to you, are reasons behind their (India and China) renewed focus on Africa?
Africa is a good source of energy products and raw materials, and it is natural that countries that are industrialising at a fast pace should look to our continent for a mutually supportive relationship in these areas. Africa is also a growth market that appreciates products from Asia, and it is a smart move for Asia to respond as positively as we can see in the various initiatives. Industrialists correctly recognise Africa as an opportunity for high returns on investment, as the headroom for production and marketing is high. Zimbabwe is keen on joint venture partners from India, who will benefit from concessions under our Look East Policy. A one stop investment centre, the Zimbabwe Investment Authority, is charged with expediting investment proposals.

What, according to you, are the emerging trends and markets in Zimbabwe?
The emerging trends and markets in Zimbabwe include: Mining (platinum, diamonds, coal, gold, phosphates, et al), Agro-based Products (cotton, tobacco, horticulture, fruits, et al), Agricultural Machinery and Fertilizers, Tourism (Victoria Falls, Hwange National Park, hunting, et al), Power and Water Infrastructure, Software, Pharmaceuticals and Industrial chemicals.

How do you think the West would react (rather is reacting) on the growing dominance of Indian and Chinese brands in Africa?
If I were a western entrepreneur, I would begin to worry about market share, and would adopt strategies to out-compete the newcomer, particularly by setting up more manufacturing units on African soil. If I were an Indian entrepreneur, I would try to be quicker on the draw.

What is your advice to Indian brands who want to be successful in Zimbabwe?
My advice to them is: emulate those whom you want to compete with – the West – who because of colonialism has been put exclusive. As you come from Asia you are welcomed but you must act accordingly and not hesitantly. It’s known the moment an Indian company stands ready to use its own resources, the moment an opportunity in America crops up for it. The same enthusiasm, if not more, needs to be shown by them in order to tap an opportunity in growth market like Africa. They should use their own resources and not wait for handouts from the Government of India. They are just supports & cannot be the main growth driver for them.

Tuesday, February 03, 2009

First, European colonisers. Now, global businesses.


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But Chinese brands are not far behind. In fact, if one considers B2B (business-to-business) transactions, they seem to be way ahead of their Indian counterparts, to the extent that China is Africa’s third-largest trade partner, after US and former colonial power France. A report by China’s General Administration of Customs says that bilateral trade between China and Africa will exceed $100-billion by end of 2008, two years earlier than predicted. The trend can be attributed to rising shipments of natural resources to China, especially crude oil, metals and minerals. In the city of Rwanda, for example up to 80% of all new roads have been built by Chinese money. In fact, during the first half of 2008, exports to Africa from China rose 40% to $23-billion (Chinese Customs Authority). On the flip side however, over 70% of Chinese investments are concentrated in just about four countries that include Angola, Nigeria, Ethiopia and Sudan.

So why has Africa suddenly become hot for Indian and Chinese brands? Says Saurabh Nanda, Executive Director, Nature’s Essence, an ayurvedic and natural product company from India, successfully operating in South Africa, “The uniqueness of the African market lies in its quick acceptance of new product categories, which is rarely seen in other communities.” Agrees Sudip Bandyopadhyay, CEO, Reliance Money, “Even the financial services market is under developed and the opportunity is significant.” Sood however cautions, “Private capital will flow where opportunities appear. But they cannot succeed without good governance in the long run.”

Moreover, fuelling their growth at home, China and India are also desperate for new markets to sell goods. And Africa is the perfect destination. Further, the two countries must find more raw materials to fuel their boom and Africa suddenly pops up on their radar. China, which accounts for a fifth of the world’s population, has seen its oil consumption rise 35-fold in the past decade and it’s Africa that is now providing a third of it – a reason why state owned companies like CNPC, China Exim Bank, CNOOC, COBEC and Sinosteel are present there.

For more articles, Click on IIPM Article.

Source : IIPM Editorial, 2008

An Initiative of IIPM, Malay Chaudhuri and Arindam chaudhuri (Renowned Management Guru and Economist).

For More IIPM Info, Visit below mentioned IIPM articles.
IIPM Programme :- SUPERIOR COURSE CONTENTS
Now IIPM's World-Class Education... for everybody!!
IIPM - Admission Procedure
IIPM, GURGAON
IIPM : EXECUTIVE EDUCATION
IIPM’s 36th Glorious Year of Academic Excellence
4Ps Power Brand Awards 2007
When IIPM comes to education, never compromise
Why Study Abroad When IIPM Gives You 3 global Advantages!
IIPM Ranked No. 1 B-School In Global Exposre - Zee...